Here we are in mid-July and the media just can’t shake off the tendency to make some sort of hysterical news out of the real estate market. First they insisted that there would soon be a crash and prices would plummet. Then they admitted that prices were stabilizing but that the future was “shaky”. Now, all of a sudden, it’s a “buyer’s market”.
The truth is that NONE of the above is true. There will be no real estate market crash, prices are still in flux and it certainly is NOT a buyer’s market. The facts simply don’t support any of these views.
What’s happened in recent months is that the long-running rapid rise in real estate market prices finally ran out of steam. It was due, and necessary for the health of the market. When the market began to slow, several things happened:
1. The market prices of existing homes and new homes coming onto the market stopped increasing at the rate they had been increasing.
2. Buyers, who previously had to snap up homes as fast as they came on the market if they wanted any chance of getting one, notices the slowdown and began to take more time to make their decisions.
3. Sellers were slower to accept the changing market place and kept their prices above the market in anticipation of continuing rapid price rises.
4. Consequently the inventory of existing and new homes with “old” prices began to increase significantly and the time to sell began to increase rapidly.
5. Next, some sellers adjusted their prices and experienced normal sale times while most new properties coming into the market were priced lower than they might have been in recognition that the prices had stopped increasing.
6. With “lower” prices (not actually lower, but either at the true market or reduced from previous highs to the true market), the media began to predict a crash (rather than an adjustment).
7. Prices stabilized in most areas, with some decrease in average prices due both to the proper adjustment of overstated prices to the true market and due to a natural slight sag in prices as a result of the correction. Whenever a market trend stops or reverses there is always a brief “backlash” that is in the opposite direction, then another correction to the true new trend.
8. With buyers taking more time and sellers trying to hold on to their older, higher prices the market pace definitely slowed and inventories have grown considerably. More adjustment of formerly high prices is needed to meet the current market trend.
9. Newly introduced properties that have been priced properly are selling in normal times and at normal markdowns. The overall trend of prices is slightly up, at an annual rise of from 3% to 5% for the forseeable future.
10. The bottom line - it’s a balanced market. There is now a good inventory to choose from with mostly fair market prices and willing sellers. Buyers are coming back to the table and making offers again, but don’t have to act as quickly as before. Unlike the previous market trend which was marked by selling frenzies and unhealthy rapid price growth, the current market is solid, growing and good for both sellers and buyers. Interest rates are still low by historical standards.
It’s a good time to sell and to buy, if that’s what you are ready to do. So, ignore the media hype, select a responsible and experienced real estate professional and go forward with confidence!
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